30 years of data from Finland reveals the dangers of dating your boss

30 years of data from Finland reveals the dangers of dating your boss

30 years of data from Finland reveals the dangers of dating your boss

From the viral “Coldplay couple” to Elon Musk’s children with a Neuralink executive, we’re fascinated by office romances — especially when the boss is involved. They inspire gossip, spark debates about power and consent, and occasionally end in scandal. But beyond the headlines lies a serious question: What happens, economically and professionally, when a manager and a subordinate become involved?

To find out, my colleagues David Macdonald, Jerry Montonen, and I analyzed administrative data covering the entire population of Finland over 30 years. Our research revealed that starting a serious relationship with a manager at your workplace can have benefits — while it lasts. But when it ends, the costs are steep for the less powerful person in the relationship. These relationships also have a negative impact on the broader workplace environment, increasing turnover among the couple’s coworkers.

Our research is one of the first large-scale, population-level studies of workplace relationships that cross organizational hierarchies. We looked at the career paths of every cohabiting couple in Finland from 1988 to 2018, focusing on those who worked in the same organization and where one partner was in a managerial position.

We found that while these office romances last, the subordinate’s career flourishes. On average, their earnings rise by 6% (compared to people who start a relationship with a manager who is not in the same workplace). This increase happens gradually over the first two years of the relationship as the couple gets more serious.

The vast majority of relationships in our study involve a female subordinate and a male manager. But when we look at the small pool of men who date female managers, we find they experience even larger earnings gains than women who date male managers.

Is the pay bump a result of favoritism? Or could a relationship with a higher-up lead to mentorship and professional growth? We find that if the subordinate moves to a new firm, the earning gains shrink by half. If the manager leaves, they disappear entirely. These results look less like talent development and more like a manager giving preferential treatment to someone they’re dating.

Starting an office romance has its perks, but breaking up brings a steep price. The subordinate’s earnings fall by an average of 18%, more than undoing any previous benefits. And the negative effects last at least four years. Employment rates drop sharply as well. Subordinates are 13 percentage points more likely to leave the labor force in the year after the breakup (compared to people who break up with a manager from a different workplace).

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